Prediction · dixon-coles-v1
40%Home
29%Draw
31%Away
Expected goals1.18 – 1.00Modeldixon-coles-v1
Match facts
Kick-offSun 12 Jul 03:00StageQuarterfinalsStatusnotstartedSofaScore id12813015
Head-to-head TBD
From /event/{id}/h2h — recent meetings & aggregate record.
Live stats / xG TBD
From /event/{id}/statistics — possession, shots, xG once live.
Advanced model
Dixon-Coles powers this prediction; tournament advance & title odds come from a Monte-Carlo simulation. Next: opponent-strength weighting & market-odds blend (docs/08).